Introduction: Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) is associated with mortality in acute heart failure
(AHF) patients. However, it is unclear which BNP parameter; on admission, at discharge,
or change during hospitalization, has the highest predictive performance for long-term
mortality, and whether its prognostic impact differs according to new European HF
phenotype classification by left ventricular ejection fraction (EF); HF with reduced
EF (HFrEF), mid-range EF (HFmrEF), and preserved EF (HFpEF). Methods and Results: We examined 3026 consecutive AHF patients from our prospective registries. Prognostic
performance of BNP was assessed by Harrell's C-index. During median follow-up of 677
days, 619 patients died. Discharge BNP had the highest C-index, 0.684, for mortality
amongst all BNP parameters (P < .001), and was associated with all-cause mortality amongst in HFrEF, HFmrEF, and
HFpEF patients with a significant interaction in multivariate Cox proportional hazard
model [Hazard ratio (HR) 1.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.53–2.33; HR 1.67, 95%
CI 1.12–2.50; HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.13–1.87, respectively, P for interaction = 0.028].
Moreover, C-index of discharge BNP for all-cause mortality in HFrEF patients (0.723)
was higher than that in HFmrEF patients (0.674) and HFpEF patients (0.653). Conclusion: In AHF patients, discharge BNP is more reliable marker than other BNP parameters
for long-term outcome prediction, but its prognostic impact may be weakened in HFmrEF
and HFpEF when compared with HFrEF.
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